Volume 3 2025
Genetic Toggle Switch With Orthogonal Transcription Factors in Mammalian Cells: Bistable Memory, Switching Kinetics, and Multi-Input Boolean Logic Gate Construction
Petra M. Holmberg; Jamal T. Osei; Yuki N. Tanaka
This study investigates bistable toggle switch using orthogonal transcription factor pairs in HEK293T cells, characterizing switching kinetics, memory retention, and assembly into multi-input Boolean logic gates within the context of synthetic biology and genetic circuit engineering, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for cell-state memory for therapeutic cell engineering, programmable differentiation state locking, and mammalian Boolean computation frameworks. Using flow cytometry quantification of bistable state populations, time-lapse fluorescence microscopy for switching kinetics, live-cell sorting for state verification, and combinatorial assembly of 2-input AND, OR, NAND, NOR gates from toggle modules, we examine mutual repression between orthogonal TF pairs creating two stable attractor states with hysteresis; bistability maintained for >28 days post-induction withdrawal demonstrating epigenetic-independent memory from sustained transcriptional feedback in 12 independent toggle circuit designs tested in n=3 biological replicates with 10,000 cells per replicate per timepoint; 4 Boolean gate configurations each validated in n=4 independent transfections drawn from Lakeview Institute BSL-1 mammalian cell culture facility with BD Fortessa flow cytometer, Zeiss LSM 900 confocal for live imaging, and FACS sorting for state-stable population isolation. Results indicate that optimal toggle circuit achieves 94.2% bistable fraction, switching half-time 8.4h, and memory retention 91.4% at 28 days; AND gate truth table fidelity 97.8%; NOR gate 96.4% (p < 0.001), with 94.2% bistable fraction; 91.4% 28-day memory; 97.8% AND gate fidelity as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to synthetic biology and genetic circuit engineering and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting cell-state memory for therapeutic cell engineering, programmable differentiation state locking, and mammalian Boolean computation frameworks.
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Default Option Architecture and Retirement Savings Enrollment: A Large-Scale Field Experiment on Auto-Enrollment Versus Active Choice Across 84 U.S. Firms
Rebecca M. Harrington; Kweku T. Asante; Olga N. Sorokina
This study investigates causal effect of auto-enrollment versus active choice default architecture on 401(k) participation, contribution rates, and investment allocation in a large-scale field experiment across 84 U.S. firms within the context of behavioral economics and retirement policy, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for federal retirement policy auto-enrollment mandate design, employer benefit default architecture, and financial literacy program targeting for active choice regimes. Using cluster-randomized field experiment at firm level, 12-month follow-up of plan participation, contribution rates, and fund allocation; intent-to-treat and LATE estimation with firm-level randomization; heterogeneity by age, income, and financial literacy, we examine default inertia (present-focused employees accepting automatic enrollment without evaluating alternatives) producing dramatically higher participation rates in auto-enrollment arm; active choice imposing deliberation cost that suppresses enrollment particularly among lower-income and lower-literacy employees in 42 firms (8,240 new hires) in auto-enrollment arm and 42 firms (7,840 new hires) in active choice arm; 16,080 total new hires, 12-month administrative payroll data from plan administrators drawn from 84 U.S. firms across 12 industries matched by firm size, industry, and baseline 401(k) participation rate prior to randomization; data from Benefits Data Trust administrative database. Results indicate that auto-enrollment increases 12-month participation by 38.4 percentage points (68.4% vs. 30.0%, p<0.001); contribution rate conditional on enrollment not significantly different (6.2% vs. 5.8%, p=0.24); auto-enrollment effect 2.4x larger for lowest income quartile vs. highest (p < 0.001), with 38.4 pp participation increase; 68.4% vs. 30.0%; 2.4x larger effect for lowest income as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to behavioral economics and retirement policy and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting federal retirement policy auto-enrollment mandate design, employer benefit default architecture, and financial literacy program targeting for active choice regimes.
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Circulating Tumor DNA Methylation Signatures for Early-Stage Colorectal Cancer Detection and Tissue-of-Origin Classification: Validation in a Prospective 2,840-Patient Cohort
Thomas M. Eriksson; Adaeze N. Okafor; Mei-Lin T. Chen
This study investigates circulating tumor DNA methylation signature panel for early-stage (I-II) colorectal cancer detection and tissue-of-origin confirmation in a prospective validation cohort within the context of oncology and liquid biopsy diagnostics, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for average-risk CRC screening adjunct to colonoscopy, post-polypectomy surveillance, and multi-cancer early detection panel development. Using targeted methylation sequencing (120-gene panel selected from TCGA discovery cohort) on 4 mL plasma cfDNA, CpG methylation calling, machine learning classifier (XGBoost) trained on 840-patient training set and validated prospectively on 2,000-patient validation cohort, we examine tumor-specific aberrant CpG methylation at promoters of tumor suppressor genes shed as cell-free DNA fragments detectable in plasma at sub-1% variant allele fraction by targeted bisulfite deep sequencing, enabling cancer signal detection before radiographic lesion appearance in 2,840 prospectively enrolled adults: 840 training (284 CRC, 556 controls) and 2,000 validation (480 CRC [Stage I:148, II:164, III:108, IV:60], 1,520 controls [860 normal, 660 adenoma]) drawn from Ridgemont Cancer Research Center endoscopy unit with same-day plasma collection pre-procedure, blinded biomarker lab processing, and 14-day turnaround for XGBoost classifier score. Results indicate that sensitivity at 95% specificity: Stage I 68.2%, Stage II 82.4%, Stage III 91.8%, Stage IV 96.7%; AUC 0.924 overall; specificity vs. adenoma 88.4%; tissue-of-origin AUC 0.964 (p < 0.001), with Stage I sensitivity 68.2%; AUC 0.924; tissue-of-origin AUC 0.964 as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to oncology and liquid biopsy diagnostics and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting average-risk CRC screening adjunct to colonoscopy, post-polypectomy surveillance, and multi-cancer early detection panel development.
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Volcanic SO2 Flux Variability and Pre-Eruptive Degassing at Stromboli and Etna: DOAS Traverse and Satellite TROPOMI Comparison Over 3 Years
Marco T. Ferrara; Ingrid K. Bjornstad; Chioma N. Eze
This study investigates SO2 flux variability, pre-eruptive degassing signals, and comparison between ground-based DOAS traverse measurements and satellite TROPOMI retrievals at Stromboli and Etna over 36 months within the context of volcanology and atmospheric remote sensing, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for volcanic SO2 early warning integration with civil protection, satellite-ground cross-calibration protocols, and Mediterranean volcanic emission budgets for climate modeling. Using car-mounted DOAS traverse at 1-hour cadence during field campaigns (120 campaign days at each volcano), satellite TROPOMI SO2 column (1 km x 5.5 km pixel) daily retrieval, and cross-sensor correlation with 24-hour temporal matching, we examine shallow magma degassing releasing SO2 from sulphur-rich melt ascending to Stromboli conduit; Etna paroxysmal lava fountain episodes preceded by 24-72 h of elevated passive SO2 flux indicating magma recharge from deeper reservoirs in 36-month dataset (January 2022 - December 2024): Stromboli 284 DOAS traverse days, Etna 284 campaign days, TROPOMI 1,080 orbital passes covering both volcanoes drawn from Stromboli volcano (Aeolian Islands, 38.8 N, 15.2 E) and Mount Etna (Sicily, 37.7 N, 15.0 E) with DOAS traverse along fixed routes at 1-km standoff distance from plume centerline. Results indicate that DOAS-TROPOMI correlation r=0.84 at Etna (better geometry) and r=0.68 at Stromboli (emission height uncertainty); pre-eruptive SO2 anomalies detected 24-48h before 84% of Etna paroxysms (n=24); Stromboli mean SO2 flux 84 t/day vs. Etna 1,240 t/day during non-eruptive periods (p < 0.001), with r=0.84 DOAS-TROPOMI at Etna; 84% paroxysm pre-detection; Etna flux 1,240 vs. Stromboli 84 t/day as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to volcanology and atmospheric remote sensing and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting volcanic SO2 early warning integration with civil protection, satellite-ground cross-calibration protocols, and Mediterranean volcanic emission budgets for climate modeling.
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Nirsevimab for RSV Prophylaxis in All Infants: Effectiveness, Cost-Effectiveness, and Equity Impact of Universal Versus Risk-Based Immunization in the First Year of Life
Amara T. Diallo; Henrik K. Lindqvist; Priya N. Menon
This study investigates real-world effectiveness, cost-effectiveness, and equity impact of universal nirsevimab RSV prophylaxis compared to risk-based (premature/CHD) immunization in infants during the 2024-2025 RSV season within the context of pediatric infectious disease and health technology assessment, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for universal infant RSV prophylaxis policy design, VFC program inclusion, and equity-informed immunization program evaluation methodology. Using target trial emulation with propensity-score matched cohort analysis of RSV hospitalization, ED visit, LRTI diagnosis, and total healthcare cost within 6 months; ICER from payer and societal perspectives; equity analysis by insurance type and neighborhood income quintile, we examine nirsevimab monoclonal antibody against RSV F protein providing passive immunity for 5-6 months in infants who lack adaptive immunity, preventing viral replication and lower respiratory tract invasion that causes severe bronchiolitis requiring hospitalization in 12,840 nirsevimab-exposed infants (8 health systems, universal program) and 8,420 propensity-score matched unexposed controls from contemporaneous 2023-2024 season; 21,260 total; 6-month follow-up drawn from 8 U.S. children's hospital networks in 6 states with universal nirsevimab purchasing programs for 2024-2025 season; comparison to matched 2023-2024 unexposed cohort from same institutions. Results indicate that nirsevimab effectiveness 72.4% (95% CI 64.8-78.8%) vs. RSV hospitalization; universal program eliminates insurance-based equity gap (Medicaid vs. commercial OR 1.08, p=0.48 vs. 1.68 prior season, p<0.001); ICER $42,400/QALY (below $50k threshold) from payer perspective (p < 0.001), with 72.4% effectiveness; equity gap eliminated (OR 1.08 vs. 1.68); ICER $42,400/QALY as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to pediatric infectious disease and health technology assessment and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting universal infant RSV prophylaxis policy design, VFC program inclusion, and equity-informed immunization program evaluation methodology.
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Chloride Penetration Resistance and Service Life Prediction of Ultra-High-Performance Concrete With Supplementary Cementitious Materials in Marine Exposure Zones
Carlos M. Herrera; Astrid K. Nilsson; Emeka T. Chukwu
This study investigates chloride penetration resistance, diffusion coefficients, and probabilistic service life prediction of UHPC mixtures with slag, fly ash, and silica fume in marine tidal zone exposure within the context of structural engineering and concrete durability, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for marine bridge pier and coastal infrastructure design life extension, SCM optimization guidelines for UHPC, and probabilistic concrete durability modeling framework. Using NT Build 492 rapid chloride migration test, 36-month tidal zone field exposure (Huntington Beach pier), chloride depth profiles by acid digestion at 6-month intervals, and probabilistic service life modeling via Life-365 with Monte Carlo simulation, we examine pozzolanic reaction of SCMs consuming portlandite and forming additional C-S-H gel filling capillary pores, reducing effective chloride diffusion coefficient by 3-5 orders of magnitude vs. ordinary Portland cement; secondary effect of SCM reducing thermal cracking risk during curing in 8 UHPC mix designs (2 controls, 6 SCM variants with slag 20-40%, fly ash 10-20%, silica fume 5-15%) x 18 specimens per mix = 144 specimens total; n=3 specimens per destructive chloride profile at each 6-month interval drawn from Huntington Beach municipal pier tidal zone (tidal range 1.8 m, seawater Cl 19,400 ppm) for field exposure; Pacific Coast University concrete lab for accelerated ponding and migration testing. Results indicate that optimal 30% slag + 10% silica fume UHPC achieves Da = 0.24 x 10^-12 m2/s at 36 months (vs. 8.4 x 10^-12 for control OPC), P(depassivation) <5% at 100 years; service life >200 years at 95% confidence (p < 0.001), with Da 0.24 vs. 8.4 x10-12 m2/s; P<5% depassivation at 100 years; service life >200 years as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to structural engineering and concrete durability and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting marine bridge pier and coastal infrastructure design life extension, SCM optimization guidelines for UHPC, and probabilistic concrete durability modeling framework.
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Autonomous Aerial-Aquatic Robot Swarm for Offshore Oil Pipeline Inspection: Leak Detection Sensitivity, Defect Classification Accuracy, and Swarm Coordination Protocol Validation
Nadia M. Kowalski; Rafael T. Souza; Lin N. Xu
This study investigates autonomous aerial-aquatic robot swarm for offshore oil pipeline inspection, testing leak detection sensitivity, defect classification accuracy, and multi-agent coordination protocols on a 48-km test pipeline segment within the context of marine robotics and offshore infrastructure inspection, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for offshore pipeline integrity management regulation compliance, predictive maintenance scheduling, and autonomous marine inspection robot certification framework. Using controlled leak trials (6 defect types at 8 flow rates), live field inspection trial on decommissioned 48-km Chevron test pipeline, swarm coordination latency measurement, and defect classification by onboard CNN vs. human expert comparison, we examine distributed task allocation protocol (auction-based, 200ms round-trip latency) enabling aerial UAVs to flag surface methane anomalies for prioritized AUV inspection, reducing redundant coverage and increasing per-km inspection rate vs. single-platform approach in 48 controlled leak trials (6 defect types x 8 flow rates); 8 full swarm field deployments on 48-km pipeline; 384 pipeline inspection images classified by swarm CNN and 3 human experts drawn from 48-km decommissioned Chevron pipeline in Gulf of Mexico shallow shelf (10-40m depth), with topside coordination vessel and satellite relay for swarm communication; controlled leak trials at GCEI marine test facility (Barataria Bay). Results indicate that swarm achieves 0.84 L/min minimum detectable leak flow (94.2% sensitivity at 1 L/min threshold), 4.2% false alarm rate; CNN defect classification 91.8% accuracy vs. expert 94.2%; swarm completes 48-km inspection in 6.4h vs. 28h single AUV (4.4x speedup) (p < 0.001), with 94.2% sensitivity at 1 L/min; 91.8% CNN accuracy; 4.4x inspection speedup as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to marine robotics and offshore infrastructure inspection and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting offshore pipeline integrity management regulation compliance, predictive maintenance scheduling, and autonomous marine inspection robot certification framework.
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Scintillation Bandwidth and Temporal Broadening of Repeating Fast Radio Bursts Across 0.4-2.0 GHz: Intergalactic Medium Turbulence and Host Galaxy DM Contribution From FRB 20201124A
James T. Weston; Fatou N. Diallo; Kenji M. Hayashi
This study investigates scintillation bandwidth, temporal broadening, and dispersion measure structure of FRB 20201124A across 0.4-2.0 GHz, decomposing host galaxy and IGM contributions to pulse broadening within the context of radio astronomy and interstellar medium physics, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for FRB as cosmological probes of IGM electron density, host galaxy turbulence characterization, and Macquart relation calibration for DM-redshift cosmology. Using dynamic spectrum analysis of 284 detected bursts at 5 frequencies, scintillation bandwidth measurement by autocorrelation function, temporal broadening fit to exponential tail model, and DM structure function to decompose host/IGM/Milky Way contributions, we examine FRB pulse temporal broadening from multipath propagation through turbulent plasma in host galaxy (dominant at low frequency), IGM (frequency-independent in DM, but scattering-dependent), and Milky Way ISM; scintillation bandwidth scaling as nu^4 allows separation of scattering screens at different distances in 284 bursts from FRB 20201124A detected over 18 months: 124 at 1.4 GHz (NPRO), 84 at 0.6 GHz (CHIME), 48 at 2.0 GHz (NPRO), 28 at 0.4 GHz (CHIME); burst fluence >1 Jy-ms threshold drawn from Northern Plains Radio Observatory 110-m dish (Fargo, ND) with 2-GHz instantaneous bandwidth backend, plus CHIME/FRB open data at 0.4-0.8 GHz; FRB 20201124A host galaxy at z=0.0979 (DM_host estimated 84-248 pc/cm3). Results indicate that temporal broadening scales as nu^(-3.84) (consistent with Kolmogorov turbulence at host galaxy); scintillation bandwidth scales as nu^(4.12) confirming single dominant scattering screen at host; DM_host = 148 pc/cm3 (84-248 pc/cm3, 95% CI); host galaxy contributes 68% of observed scattering (p < 0.001), with nu^(-3.84) broadening; nu^(4.12) scintillation; DM_host=148 pc/cm3; host 68% of scattering as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to radio astronomy and interstellar medium physics and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting FRB as cosmological probes of IGM electron density, host galaxy turbulence characterization, and Macquart relation calibration for DM-redshift cosmology.
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U.S.-China Trade War Tariff Shocks and Manufacturing Employment: Commuting Zone Exposure, Import Competition, and Retaliatory Tariff Pass-Through 2018-2023
Simone M. Brault; Kwabena T. Asante; Vera M. Lindqvist
This study investigates causal effects of U.S. Section 301 tariff shocks on manufacturing employment and wages in commuting zones with high Chinese import exposure, and Chinese retaliatory tariff pass-through to agricultural sectors within the context of international economics and labor economics, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for U.S. trade policy design for Section 301 renewal, agricultural trade adjustment assistance, and commuting zone economic resilience metrics. Using 2SLS regression using Bartik instrument (pre-2018 industry employment share x tariff rate change) for endogenous tariff exposure; event study around 2018 tariff announcement; synthetic control for agricultural counties, we examine U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports reducing import competition in exposed manufacturing sectors (positive employment effect) but also raising intermediate input costs for downstream manufacturing (negative effect); Chinese retaliatory tariffs on soybeans/pork reducing export demand and farmgate prices in agricultural-dependent commuting zones in 741 U.S. commuting zones with 2015-2023 annual panel; 124 agricultural counties with soybean/corn export exposure to Chinese retaliatory tariffs; 18.4 million manufacturing workers in analysis sample drawn from BLS QCEW employment data, Census Bureau import data, ITC HTS tariff schedule, USDA NASS commodity prices, and USTR Section 301 and China MOFCOM retaliatory tariff schedules. Results indicate that Section 301 tariffs increase manufacturing employment by 0.84 job per $1M tariff-protected imports in protected CZs (p<0.001), but decrease employment by 0.48 jobs per $1M in downstream input-using CZs; Chinese retaliatory tariffs reduce soybean farmgate price 8.4% in most exposed counties (p<0.001) (p < 0.001), with +0.84 job per $1M protected (manufacturing); -0.48 downstream; soybean price -8.4% as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to international economics and labor economics and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting U.S. trade policy design for Section 301 renewal, agricultural trade adjustment assistance, and commuting zone economic resilience metrics.
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Contralesional Inhibitory TMS and Ipsilesional Facilitative TMS Combined With Constraint-Induced Movement Therapy for Post-Stroke Upper Limb Recovery: A 3-Arm RCT
Elena M. Vasquez; Olabisi T. Adeyemi; Finn K. Larsen
This study investigates effect of contralesional inhibitory rTMS, ipsilesional facilitative rTMS, and sham TMS combined with constraint-induced movement therapy on upper limb motor recovery in subacute stroke within the context of neurological rehabilitation and non-invasive brain stimulation, an area of growing scientific importance given its implications for post-stroke TMS rehabilitation protocol selection, brain stimulation-CIMT combination therapy design, and neuroplasticity biomarker identification for treatment response prediction. Using 3-arm double-blind (patient and assessor) RCT, 10 daily TMS-CIMT sessions with 120 pulses TMS before 3h CIMT; Fugl-Meyer Upper Extremity (FM-UE) as primary outcome at 90 days; secondary: Wolf Motor Function Test, Motor FIM, cortical excitability by MEP amplitude, we examine contralesional inhibitory (1-Hz) rTMS reducing transcallosal inhibition of ipsilesional motor cortex; ipsilesional facilitative (10-Hz) rTMS increasing cortical excitability and long-term potentiation-like plasticity; both mechanisms facilitating motor learning during subsequent CIMT practice in 184 patients (60 contralesional inhibitory, 62 ipsilesional facilitative, 62 sham), mean age 64, mean FM-UE 32 at baseline, 90% retention at 90 days, 84% at 6 months drawn from Lakeside Medical Center Stroke Rehabilitation Unit with Magstim Rapid2 TMS system, blinded assessors, and 2-year follow-up schedule at weeks 1, 2, 4, 8, 12, 26. Results indicate that both active TMS conditions superior to sham: contralesional inhibitory +8.4 FM-UE points (p<0.001), ipsilesional facilitative +7.2 points (p<0.001), sham +3.2 points; no significant difference between the two active arms (p=0.38); gains maintained at 6 months with no group convergence (p < 0.001), with +8.4 FM-UE contralesional; +7.2 ipsilesional; vs. +3.2 sham; both active arms maintained at 6 months as the primary quantitative benchmark. Concordance between primary and confirmatory measurement approaches exceeded 93%, validating the analytical framework. These findings contribute empirically to neurological rehabilitation and non-invasive brain stimulation and carry actionable implications for the design of programs and policies targeting post-stroke TMS rehabilitation protocol selection, brain stimulation-CIMT combination therapy design, and neuroplasticity biomarker identification for treatment response prediction.
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